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| Tesla (TSLA) | $ 438.07 |
Roadblocks keep cropping up for Tesla (TSLA). Shares in the electric vehicle maker started the New Year down around 4% after the firm missed Q4 2025 delivery forecasts.
According to figures released on Friday (2 Jan), the company delivered 418,227 vehicles versus company-compiled consensus estimate of 422,850. Bloomberg’s own consensus estimate was 440,907, implying a much larger miss.
Tesla produced 434,358 vehicles during the quarter. That’s down 5.5% year-on-year and below the 470,780 Bloomberg consensus estimate.
Deliveries were down 16% from the same period a year earlier.
Following the report, Wedbush analyst Dan Ives said Q4 deliveries were ‘better than whisper numbers’ and ‘all eyes are on AI into 2026.’
Chiming a similar bell, Truist analyst William Stein believes investors should be more focused on AI projects, especially FSD (full self-driving).
‘We view AI developments as far more important than auto deliveries for Tesla’s long-term cash generation and stock performance.’
Tesla stock is basically becoming a bet between analysts and AI, and a market still fixated on EVs.
It’s dangerous to bet against Elon Musk as he’s made investors (and himself) a lot of money over the years. That said, he has also earned a reputation of being long on promises and (often) short on delivery. Where, for example, are the Optimus (humanoid robot) millions previously pledged?
Right now, EVs remain the (virtually) sole source of revenue, profit and cash flows.
Until investors get more reality than pipe dreams, we would expect Tesla to remain a volatile stock.
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